Select Committee · Public Accounts Committee

Use of evaluation and financial modelling in Government

Status: Closed Opened: 12 Jan 2022 Closed: 2 Sep 2022 7 recommendations 12 conclusions 1 report

Government relies on hundreds – possibly thousands – of models for a huge variety of critical activities, from forecasting spending plans to guiding operational decision making, and increasingly relies on these models as more data is available and there is an increased emphasis on evidence-driven decision-making. When it comes to evaluating the resulting policy, both … Show more

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Reports

1 report
Title HC No. Published Items Response
Fourth Report - Use of evaluation and modelling in governme… HC 254 27 May 2022 19 Responded

Recommendations & Conclusions

3 items
2 Recommendation Fourth Report - Use of evaluation and m… Not Addressed

HM Treasury is not making full use of the spending levers it has at its...

HM Treasury is not making full use of the spending levers it has at its disposal to deliver a step change in the use of evaluation across government. We welcome the creation of the Evaluation Task Force and the increased emphasis on evaluation in the 2020 and 2021 Spending Reviews, … Read more

Government response AI summary
The response does not address the recommendation of setting up a formal process for tracking spending review settlement conditions relating to evaluation, and instead discusses internal performance measures and consultations with the sector.
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HM Treasury
9 Conclusion Fourth Report - Use of evaluation and m… Not Addressed

Within departments, ultimate responsibility for upholding standards and securing improvements lies with that department’s accounting...

Within departments, ultimate responsibility for upholding standards and securing improvements lies with that department’s accounting officer.24 Managing Public Money states that financial modelling and evaluation are an important part of the accounting officer’s role, and that they should comply with the Functional Standards.25 However, there continues to be important weaknesses … Read more

Government response AI summary
The response restates the conclusion.
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HM Treasury
16 Recommendation Fourth Report - Use of evaluation and m… Not Addressed

Transparency of the models that departments use is poor: only 9 out of 17 departments...

Transparency of the models that departments use is poor: only 9 out of 17 departments have published their list of business-critical models since 2013, and only four of those have updated this since 2017.54 HM Treasury has not published its own list of business-critical 44 Qq 43,55 45 Q 43 … Read more

Government response AI summary
The response discusses publishing an evaluation registry and reviewing quality assurance procedures, which doesn't directly address the need to publish lists of business-critical models or improve guidance on model transparency.
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HM Treasury

Oral evidence sessions

1 session
Date Witnesses
9 Mar 2022 Catherine Hutchinson · HM Treasury and the Cabinet Office, Cat Little · Cabinet Office, Professor Sir Ian Diamond · UK Statistics Authority, Sir Tom Scholar · HM Treasury View ↗

Who gave evidence

4 witnesses
WitnessOrganisationSessions
Cat Little · Permanent Secretary Cabinet Office 1
Catherine Hutchinson · Head of the Evaluation Task Force HM Treasury and the Cabinet Office 1
Professor Sir Ian Diamond · UK National Statistician and Head of the Governme… UK Statistics Authority 1
Sir Tom Scholar · Permanent Secretary HM Treasury 1