Recommendation 10

It remains to be seen whether the forthcoming Review will include an update to the National Security Risk Assessment (NSRA) or whether a new approach will emerge. Whether or not the Review uses the terminology of the NSRA, we suggest that if this aspect of the Review is to provide a useful guide to inform the UK’s defence posture, it should adhere to the following principles: In Search of Strategy — The 2020 Integrated Review 57 Input Output Review • Draws on a wide • Establishes broad • Subject to robust range of sources threat and risk challenge from categories within and outside • Considers the Government capability and • Distinguishes intent of the UK’s between short term • Communicated adversaries and allies and long-term risks to Parliament and and threats the public in a way • Considers that balances the the impact and • Includes a need for secrecy threats posed by clear and realistic with the benefits of new and emerging prioritisation transparency technologies • Recognises the drivers of conflict and instability • Takes account of the changing character of warfare