Recommendation 3

We welcome the Government’s work to date in securing swift tariff relief for key sectors under the GT-EPD and acknowledge the progress made in challenging circumstances. However, we must acknowledge that UK exporters are now trading with our most significant single trading partner on terms which are worse than before President Trump came to office. Because ministers have not published an economic impact analysis—or a framework for assessing potential impacts—we cannot yet estimate the economic loss or gains from the GT-EPD. While implementation of some aspects of the agreement has commenced, many of the UK’s critical industries remain in a state of uncertainty about the future tariffs regimes they may face. It is also now clear that the UK has secured less favourable terms for some sectors than our much larger neighbours in the EU. Finally, 52 the future timetable for implementing measures that might be agreed in the GT-EPD is unclear. Together, these risks are increasing uncertainty for business. Uncertainty risks hurting, not helping, the appetite of business and investors to invest. (Conclusion, Paragraph 48)