HMRC's tax gap attributed to criminal attacks has significantly decreased over time.
We also asked HMRC if it is also seeing an increase to commit fraud among taxpayers as a whole. HMRC told us it does not forecast a propensity to fraud but that the tax gap, which might be considered an equivalent figure, has been holding steady.20 In written evidence submitted …
Government response. The government agrees with the Committee’s recommendation and states it has presented detailed evidence to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), who have incorporated this within the overall forecast for fraud and error prevalence in the welfare system.
HM Treasury