Source · IAPDC
Prison Overcrowding and Deaths in England and Wales: Findings from a Predictive Analysis and Modelling Study
Published: 5 September 2025
Sector: Prisons & Probation
Type: Rapid Evidence Collection
Recommendations: 3
No formal response
Predictive analysis examining the association between prison overcrowding and deaths in custody (2014-2024). Projects that self-inflicted deaths could increase by 21% by 2029. Contains 3 strategic recommendations.
Government response
No formal government response published. Report published September 2025.
Recommendations
| # | Recommendation | Addressee | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Expand healthcare provision, particularly mental health services, in high-risk environments such as Category B male prisons. | NHSE, HMPPS, MoJ | Open |
| 2 | Target suicide and self-harm prevention in prisons with occupancy rates at or above 100%. | HMPPS | Open |
| 3 | Enable establishment-level research by allowing routine data sharing with independent research teams to better understand mortality risks and how to mitigate them. | MoJ, HMPPS | Open |
Report details
- Published
- 5 September 2025
- Sector
- Prisons & Probation
- Type
- Rapid Evidence Collection
Status breakdown
| Open | 3 |
Addressees
| NHSE, HMPPS, MoJ | 1 |
| HMPPS | 1 |
| MoJ, HMPPS | 1 |