Source · IAPDC

Prison Overcrowding and Deaths in England and Wales: Findings from a Predictive Analysis and Modelling Study

Published: 5 September 2025 Sector: Prisons & Probation Type: Rapid Evidence Collection Recommendations: 3 No formal response recorded

Index summary

Predictive analysis examining the association between prison overcrowding and deaths in custody (2014-2024). Projects that self-inflicted deaths could increase by 21% by 2029. Contains 3 strategic recommendations.

Original evidence

Report page Report PDF

Government response

Index summary

No formal government response published. Report published September 2025.

Recommendations

3 items

Recommendation 1 · Link to recommendation

Addressed to: NHSE, HMPPS, MoJ · Open

Recommendation · source text

Expand healthcare provision, particularly mental health services, in high-risk environments such as Category B male prisons.

No response text is recorded for this recommendation.

Recommendation 2 · Link to recommendation

Addressed to: HMPPS · Open

Recommendation · source text

Target suicide and self-harm prevention in prisons with occupancy rates at or above 100%.

No response text is recorded for this recommendation.

Recommendation 3 · Link to recommendation

Addressed to: MoJ, HMPPS · Open

Recommendation · source text

Enable establishment-level research by allowing routine data sharing with independent research teams to better understand mortality risks and how to mitigate them.

No response text is recorded for this recommendation.

Report details

Published: 5 September 2025
Sector: Prisons & Probation
Type: Rapid Evidence Collection

Status breakdown

Open

Addressees

NHSE, HMPPS, MoJ	1
HMPPS	1
MoJ, HMPPS	1

Source links

Report PDF → Report page →